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Reuters survey: In December, the Bank of England decided to keep interest rates unchanged or cut interest rates by 100 basis points next year. All 71 economists surveyed during December 6-11 predicted that the Bank of England would keep its target interest rate unchanged at 4.75% at its meeting on December 19. Among the economists who predict the interest rate outlook until the end of 2025, about 54% (36 out of 67) expect to cut interest rates by 100 basis points by the end of next year, another 17 expect to cut interest rates by at least 125 basis points, and 14 expect to cut interest rates by at most 75 basis points.Network Information Office: The Network Security Standards Committee should speed up the development and release of standards such as "Identification Method of Synthetic Content Generated by Artificial Intelligence" and strengthen the research on relevant network security standards such as intelligent networked vehicles. The second "Standards Week" of the National Network Security Standardization Technical Committee in 2024 was held in Haikou City, Hainan Province from December 8 th to 11 th. Wang Jingtao, deputy director of the National Network Information Office, pointed out that standing at a new starting point and a new journey, the Network Security Standards Committee should do a solid job in network security standardization. First, it is necessary to build a national network security defense system supported by standards, and promote the release and implementation of standards such as the boundary determination method of key information infrastructure, the index system of security protection capability, the alarm information format of network security products, and the asset information format as soon as possible, and accelerate the formation of systematic defense capabilities. Second, it is necessary to use standards to help data security governance and supervision, speed up the development of standards such as data classification and classification protection requirements and compliance audit of personal information protection, and ensure the safe and orderly flow of data. Third, it is necessary to lead the safe and orderly development of new technologies and applications such as artificial intelligence with standards and norms, accelerate the development and release of standards such as "Identification Method of Synthetic Content Generated by Artificial Intelligence", and strengthen the research on relevant network security standards such as intelligent networked vehicles and autonomous driving, effectively escorting the safe development of emerging future industries. Fourth, we should use standards to boost the international influence of China's cybersecurity, continue to push China's cybersecurity standards "going global", do our best to run the SC27 international conference in the second half of 2025, and strive to achieve a double harvest of conference organization and conference technical achievements.EU finalizes new sanctions against Russia: strike against the "shadow fleet". According to a report on the website of German newspaper Sü ddeutsche Zeitung on December 11th, EU countries have reached an agreement on a new package of sanctions against Russia. Several diplomats told DPA that the new sanctions were aimed at strengthening the crackdown on the so-called "Russian shadow fleet" transporting oil and petroleum products. It is reported that more than 50 ships will be banned from entering EU ports. In addition, they can no longer get the services of EU enterprises. In June this year, the EU has taken preliminary measures to blacklist more than 20 Russian ships. It is reported that this is the 15th package of sanctions against Russia drawn up by the EU so far. The plan also stipulates that trade with more than 30 other business entities should be restricted, and the EU has determined that they should keep in touch with the Russian defense and security departments. In addition, the EU also plans to impose an entry ban and asset freeze on some individuals. According to the report, senior EU officials are pleased that member States have reached a consensus on this. Kaya Karas, the EU's High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, said: "This will further weaken (Russian President) Putin's war machine." Roberta Metsola, Speaker of the European Parliament, said: "This sends another strong signal: our support for Ukraine will not weaken." The sanctions plan will be officially confirmed at the meeting of foreign ministers of member States in Brussels on the 16th, and then will be published in the official gazette of the European Union and come into effect. (Reference message)

The RMB exchange rate is expected to appreciate again at the end of the year. The research team of the Financial Market Department of Agricultural Bank of China said that the market transactions have shown obvious narrative-driven characteristics in recent years. Considering some recent changes, the RMB exchange rate is expected to stabilize and rebound again in the future. First, the pricing of Trump transactions in the international market has come to an end. Second, there has been a major shift in domestic macro policies. Since late September, financial policies such as lowering the RRR, cutting interest rates, supporting the stock market and the real estate market, and fiscal debt measures have boosted market confidence. Third, there has been a favorable change in supply and demand in the domestic foreign exchange market. The end of the year is the traditional peak season for enterprises to settle foreign exchange, and the continuous forward discount will lead to the backlog of foreign exchange settlement, which will further amplify the demand for foreign exchange settlement at the end of the year. Further considering the overall situation of the game between China and the United States, Trump's return not only means the enhancement of external shocks, but also the upgrading of internal policies. The RMB exchange rate will maintain two-way fluctuations next year, and it is no longer a steady profit for enterprises to hold US dollars and postpone foreign exchange settlement. While stabilizing domestic foreign trade and foreign investment, continuing to expand high-level opening-up and expanding domestic demand in an all-round way implies the certainty of economic stabilization and recovery, which is expected to promote the return of short-term securities investment and medium-and long-term direct investment and help the RMB stop falling and rebound.Poly Development: Poly Group increased its holdings by 261 million yuan. According to the announcement of Poly Development, the actual controller of the company, Poly Group, has completed the plan to increase its holdings, and accumulated 27,980,100 A shares, accounting for 0.23% of the total share capital, with an increase of 261 million yuan. This increase plan will last for 12 months from December 12, 2023, and the increase amount will be no less than 250 million yuan and no more than 500 million yuan. After the completion of the increase, Poly Group directly holds about 3.03% of the company's shares, and the total shareholding ratio with its wholly-owned subsidiaries is 40.72%. The increase in holdings is in compliance with relevant laws and regulations, and Poly Group promises not to reduce its holdings within the statutory time limit.The Environmental Protection Department of the National Development and Reform Commission organized the liaison meeting of the coordination mechanism of cleaner production promotion departments in 2024. On the afternoon of December 10th, the Environmental Protection Department of the National Development and Reform Commission organized the liaison meeting of the coordination mechanism of cleaner production promotion departments in 2024 to sort out and summarize the latest progress, existing problems and difficulties in the implementation of cleaner production in 2024, study the key tasks in 2025, and promote the completion of the objectives and tasks of the Tenth Five-Year Plan.

Lu Dongsheng was appointed Deputy Secretary and General Manager of the Party Committee of Shanghai Futures Exchange. The Party Committee of China Securities Regulatory Commission decided that Comrade Lu Dongsheng was appointed Deputy Secretary and General Manager of the Party Committee of Shanghai Futures Exchange. Comrade Wang Fenghai no longer serves as deputy secretary and general manager of the Party Committee of Shanghai Futures Exchange. (website of last issue)By 2029, China will build about 10,000 superior specialties of traditional Chinese medicine. According to state administration of traditional chinese medicine, China will promote the construction of superior specialties of traditional Chinese medicine at different levels to further improve the clinical efficacy of traditional Chinese medicine. By 2029, the overall scale of superior specialties of traditional Chinese medicine will reach about 10,000. Recently, state administration of traditional chinese medicine issued opinions on accelerating the construction of superior specialties of traditional Chinese medicine, and put forward the requirements of strengthening the planning and layout of superior specialties of traditional Chinese medicine and promoting the construction of superior clusters of traditional Chinese medicine. (CCTV News)Zhu Min, former vice president of IMF: Domestic consumption, manufacturing and green transformation will become the growth drivers of China's economy. Recently, at the China 2024 Annual Meeting and the 22nd Financial Billboard, Zhu Min, former vice president of China International Economic Exchange Center, said that one of the three traditional locomotives of China's economic growth is infrastructure investment; The second is the real estate industry, and the third is export. The transformation of the whole economic structure needs a new growth impetus. Zhu Min said that this new growth driver is, first, based on domestic consumption, and second, insisting on doing a good job in domestic manufacturing and doing high technology; The third is green transformation. We will continue to take the road of sustainable development of green transformation in China and improve our core competitiveness.